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Managing Change in Egypt

Advancing a fresh U. S. Policy that Balances Regional Security with Support for Egyptian Political and Economic Reforms By simply Brian Katulis June 2012

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THE ASSOCIATED PRESS/PETE MullER

Taking care of Change in Egypt

Advancing a fresh U. S. Policy that Balances Regional Security with Support intended for Egyptian Politics and Economic Reforms Simply by Brian Katulis June 2012

Contents

one particular Introduction and summary your five U. T. national reliability interests in Egypt being unfaithful Egypt's politics, economic, and security transitions 18 A new U. H. policy: Handling change in Egypt 28 Summary 30 About the writers and acknowledgements 31 Endnotes

Introduction and summary

Egypt is in the middle of a number of major political, security, and economic transitions that will unfold for years to come.  The 2012 usa president elections started conclude later on this month within a final run-off election mark the end of one period in this transition. Nevertheless Egypt confronts a long road ahead, including drafting a fresh constitution, environment checks and balances in the new political system, and concluding trial offers for ex - leaders in previous government authorities. The planet's most populous Arab nation could transition into something that resembles Chicken, with a greater voice pertaining to Islamist celebrations and curbs on the recently unchecked power of the security institution. Or Egypt could changeover toward a scenario just like Pakistan, where the military and internal reliability forces carry on and hold significant political electricity and rule key areas of the economic system. Most likely Egypt will create its own path with its change shaped by multiple centers of power—some that have emerged since the well-known uprising in 2011 and others which have existed for many years. The path Egypt takes could have major implications for the rest of the location. The changes inside the formal buildings and inner balance of power in Egypt's authorities, alongside the social and economic conversions Egyptians always experience, will be some of the most significant strategic mechanics reshaping the Middle East. What are the results in Egypt will be as important as the dangers and issues posed by Usa, the re-emergence of Turkey as a regional power, plus the continued complications emanating in the unresolved Arab-Israeli conflict. The alterations underway in Egypt can spark its greatest repositioning since the 1970s, when it converted away from the Soviet sphere of influence and toward america and authorized a serenity treaty with Israel. The stakes intended for U. H. national protection are great. How Egypt advances in the coming years will affect U. S. national security policy in the Middle East on multiple fronts, which includes:

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Center for American Progress | Managing Change in Egypt

• Managing regional security and the Arab-Israeli discord • Struggling with terrorist networks • Answering new styles such as politics reform as well as the rise of Islamist celebrations across the region • Forging new economic relations together with the broader area Engaging with the new Egypt government in all of the these arenas will require the us to equilibrium and integrate efforts to progress two key objectives— maintaining a close collaboration with Egypt in advancing regional protection and supporting Egypt's politics and monetary transitions toward more effective governance and broadened economic options for its individuals. The days if the United States could prioritize local security above support for Egypt's personal and economic transitions are over. Egypt's political change remains a volatile operate progress following multiple rounds of parliamentary and usa president elections, together with the constitutional reform process which represents the next key phase. This kind of political doubt has weakened Egypt's overall economy, leaving endemic problems an excellent source of unemployment, developing public personal debt, corruption, and increasing demands on Egypt's foreign money reserves—without a coherent monetary policy response from...